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Al Horford

Al Horford Points
Player Prop - 3/9/2024

Phoenix Suns vs Boston Celtics

Al Horford Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

When it comes to scoring, the Celtics's superb 122.7 points per game rates most in the league over the last 15 games.

The Suns have played at the 3rd-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games, which should increase possessions for the Celtics.

Al Horford has sunk 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 13.6% more than he's put through the net over the course of the season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Al Horford has successfully made a lowly 1.5 shots from downtown per game this season, quite a bit less than his 2.1 mark last season.

The matchup against Jusuf Nurkic is a tough one for shots from the field; when Nurkic is on his home court and defending opposing starting Cs this year, they have made just 52.3% of their field goals (20th percentile).

The 3rd-slowest pace team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Celtics.

Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and result in extra opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Boston Celtics grade out 7thworst in in the NBA with only 9.1 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.

The number of fouls drawn by other starting Cs against Jusuf Nurkic has been remarkably low this year (2.7 free throw attempts per game: 17th percentile).

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