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Al Horford

Al Horford Points
Player Prop - 3/3/2024

Boston Celtics vs Golden State Warriors

Al Horford Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Al Horford has successfully made 60.1% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games, 10.9% more than he's made overall this year.

In terms of scoring, the Boston Celtics's outstanding 122.9 points per game ranks strongest in the NBA over the last 15 games.

Over the last 15 games, opposing clubs have averaged 32.4% on threes (weakest in the league) vs. the Warriors, branding this as a difficult matchup.

The Golden State Warriors have played at the 2nd-fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games while traveling, which ought to lead to increased possessions for the Celtics.

Al Horford has converted 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 15.0% more than he's put through the net overall this season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The matchup against Draymond Green is a challenging one for shots from the field; when Green is on the visiting team and facing other starting Cs this year, they have successfully made a lowly 4.9 shots made from the field per game (3rd percentile).

The 3rd-most sluggish pace offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Celtics.

The Boston Celtics check in as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).

Over the last 5 games when they have the home court advantage, opposing squads have snagged 13.0 offensive rebounds per game (3rd-most in the NBA) vs. the Golden State Warriors (saving possessions that can result in extra chances for offense).

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