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Al Horford

Al Horford Points
Player Prop - 2/24/2024

New York Knicks vs Boston Celtics

Al Horford Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-118/-113).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Offensive rebounds retain possession and produce further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Boston Celtics rank 6thbest in in the league without the home court advantage with 10.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 17 games.

Over the last 5 games when they are the visiting team, opposing teams have snagged 6.4 offensive rebounds per game (2nd-fewest in the league) vs. the New York Knicks (turning over possessions that could otherwise lead to extra chances for offense).

Al Horford has converted 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games on the road, 25.0% higher than he's put through the net over the course of the season away from his home court.

Over the last 25 games, the other team has attempted 19.3 free throws per game (fewest in the NBA) against the New York Knicks, struggling to get to the free-throw line.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Relative to last year's 5.1 rate, Al Horford's shots from behind the three-point arc have decreased this year to 3.9 per game.

This matchup is a favorable one; when the Knicks are playing at home, they have given up the 9th-most points per game in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 5 games (115.6).

The Celtics have played at the 6th-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games when playing on the road.

The New York Knicks have played at the most sluggish tempo in the NBA at home this year, which ought to lead to fewer plays for the Celtics.

Al Horford will not enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium tends to decrease player production across the board.

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