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Al Horford

Al Horford Points
Player Prop - 2/22/2024

Chicago Bulls vs Boston Celtics

Al Horford Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -135 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Al Horford has sunk 49.8% of his three-point shots over the last 10 games on the road, 11.0% higher than he's converted from beyond the arc over the course of the year without the home court advantage.

Offensive rebounds preserve possession and produce more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Celtics grade out 7thbest in in the NBA while playing on the road with 11.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games.

Over the last 5 games when they are the visiting squad, opposing clubs have nabbed 7.8 offensive boards per game (2nd-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Bulls (lessening possessions that could otherwise spark additional chances for offense).

Al Horford has converted 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games on the road, 25.0% higher than he's made in all games this season without the home court advantage.

This matchup is a tough one for getting to the foul line; opposing teams have attempted a lowly 21.4 foul shots per game when the Bulls have the home court advantage this year (8th-least in the NBA).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This matchup is a favorable one for shots from behind the three-point arc; the other team has averaged the most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (39.1).

The Boston Celtics have played at the 9th-slowest tempo in the league as the away team this year.

The Chicago Bulls have played at the most sluggish pace in the league this year, which ought to reduce plays for the Celtics.

Al Horford will not hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home stadium tends to reduce player performance in all facets of the game.

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