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Al Horford

Al Horford Points
Player Prop - 2/7/2024

Boston Celtics vs Atlanta Hawks

Al Horford Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-106/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -106.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Al Horford has converted 41.4% of his 3-pointers while on his home court this year, ranking in the 80th percentile out of all players in the NBA.

The Atlanta Hawks have played at the most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games, which ought to boost possessions for the Celtics.

Offensive rebounds maintain possession and generate further chances for scoring and assists, and the Boston Celtics rank 12thbest in in the NBA at home with 12.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

Out of all players in the NBA, Al Horford places in the 82nd percentile for foul-shot proficiency with a an outstanding 85.7% rate this year.

Al Horford will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing at home generally raises player performance across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The clash with Onyeka Okongwu places in the 3rd percentile for difficulty with the other team's starting Cs sinking a mere 0.3 shots from downtown per game this year.

While playing away from home, the Atlanta Hawks have given up the 6th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.7) in the league to the other team over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).

This matchup may be a strong one for drawing fouls; opposing squads have attempted a colossal 24.4 foul shots per game over the last 5 games (7th-most in the league).

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