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Al Horford

Al Horford Points
Player Prop - 1/25/2024

Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics

Al Horford Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-115/-111).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ +104 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -111.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Al Horford has sunk 50.0% of his shots from downtown over the last 15 games, 9.6% higher than he's made from downtown over the course of the season.

The Boston Celtics have played at the 4th-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games while on the road.

Offensive rebounds preserve possession and spark additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Celtics rank 6thbest in in the league with 11.5 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games.

The Miami Heat have allowed the least offensive boards per game (9.6) in the league to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Al Horford has converted 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 14.3% more than he's made overall this season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Boston Celtics rank as the 9th-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league while on the road this year.

The number of points logged against Bam Adebayo has been very low (11.7 per game) when defending other starting Cs this year (3rd percentile).

The Celtics are expected to suffer a reduction in plays in this contest from being pitted against the 2nd-most lethargic pace offense in the NBA this year (the Heat).

The number of fouls drawn by fellow starting Cs against Bam Adebayo has been remarkably low this year (2.7 free throw attempts per game: 14th percentile).

Al Horford is expected to see a decline in effectiveness in all facets of the game due to playing on the visting team in this contest.

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