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Al Horford

Al Horford Points
Player Prop - 1/6/2024

Indiana Pacers vs Boston Celtics

 
 
 
Al Horford Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (+110/-134).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -140 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ +110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The matchup vs. the Pacers is a hard one for 3-point attempts; opposing teams have tallied the fewest 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (28.0).
  • The Boston Celtics are expected to see a rise in opportunities in this contest from sharing the court with the speediest pace-of-play home team in the NBA this year (the Indiana Pacers).
  • Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and produce bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Celtics grade out 2ndbest in in the NBA with 13.1 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games.
  • Al Horford has sunk a whopping 100.0% of his foul shots this season, a big improvement over his 72.6 rate last season.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Boston Celtics check in as the 9th-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA while playing on the road this year.
  • The 8th-slowest pace visiting offense in the NBA this year has been the Celtics.
  • Over the last 10 games when they are the visiting squad, opposing clubs have captured 12.8 offensive boards per game (2nd-most in the NBA) vs. the Indiana Pacers (continuing possessions that can create added chances for offense).
  • This matchup is a favorable one for getting to the foul line; opposing clubs have attempted an enormous 27.7 foul shots per game this year (most in the NBA).
  • Al Horford will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage tends to decrease stat production in all stat categories.

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