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Al Horford

Al Horford Points
Player Prop - 12/31/2023

San Antonio Spurs vs Boston Celtics

Al Horford Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (+104/-128).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ +106 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ +104.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Al Horford has converted 50.7% of his three-point shots over the last 5 games, 13.9% higher than he's sunk over the course of the year.

The number of shot attempts from the field against Victor Wembanyama has been remarkably high (11.9 per game) when playing at home and guarding other starting Cs this year (97th percentile).

The San Antonio Spurs have played at the fastest tempo in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to more plays for the Boston Celtics.

Offensive rebounds maintain possession and lead to added chances for scoring and assists, and the Celtics grade out 13thbest in in the NBA as the away team with 14.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

Relative to last year's 72.6% clip, Al Horford's free-throw prowess has spiked this year to 100.0%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Boston Celtics have been the 6th-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA while playing on the road this year.

The 3rd-least up-tempo pace team in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Boston Celtics.

The San Antonio Spurs have allowed the 2nd-most offensive boards per game (12.1) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Al Horford ought to see a decline in effectiveness in all stat categories considering being on the road in this matchup.

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