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Al Horford

Al Horford Points
Player Prop - 12/28/2023

Boston Celtics vs Detroit Pistons

Al Horford Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-130/+100).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Al Horford has converted 57.1% of his shots from the field over the last 10 games at home, 6.7% more than he's converted overall this year while at home.

The Celtics are expected to see an increase in possessions in this game from competing against the 5th-speediest pace road offense in the league this year (the Pistons).

Offensive rebounds retain possession and generate further chances for scoring and assists, and the Boston Celtics grade out 1stbest in in the NBA with 13.6 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

Over the last 20 games, their opposition has come down with 10.0 offensive boards per game (4th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Pistons (shortening possessions that could otherwise spark added opportunities for offense).

Al Horford has converted an impressive 100.0% of his foul shot attempts this year, significantly more than his 72.6 mark last year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This year, opposing starting PFs have tallied 3.0 three attempts per game (14th-lowest in the league) vs. the Detroit Pistons, resulting in a hard matchup.

The 3rd-most lethargic tempo offense in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Celtics.

As a team, the Boston Celtics have been poor at drawing fouls playing at home: 5th-worst in the NBA this year, drawing a measly 20.3 free throws per game.

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