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Al Horford

Al Horford Points
Player Prop - 12/25/2023

Los Angeles Lakers vs Boston Celtics

Al Horford Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (+110/-145).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -145 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ +110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 20 games, which ought to raise opportunities for the Boston Celtics.

Offensive rebounds save possession and result in additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Celtics grade out 3rdbest in in the NBA with 13.2 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

The Lakers have given up the 5th-least offensive boards per game (9.9) in the NBA to the other team over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Al Horford has successfully made an impressive 100.0% of his foul shot attempts this year, a big improvement over his 72.6 rate last year.

This year, opposing squads have attempted 19.2 foul shots per game (3rd-lowest in the league) against the Lakers, facing an uphill battle to get to the charity stripe.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Celtics have been the 9th-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league as the road team this year.

Over the last 25 games, opposing clubs have averaged 38.1 3-point attempts per game (3rd-most in the league) against the Los Angeles Lakers, creating a strong matchup.

The 5th-least up-tempo pace offense in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Boston Celtics.

Al Horford will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city usually lowers player performance in all stat categories.

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