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Al Horford

Al Horford Points
Player Prop - 12/14/2023

Boston Celtics vs Cleveland Cavaliers

 
 
 
Al Horford Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (+102/-124).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -124.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This year, the other team has averaged 45.8% on shots from the field (4th-lowest in the league) vs. the Cleveland Cavaliers, creating a hard matchup.
  • Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and bring about additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Celtics grade out 7thbest in in the league while playing at home with 12.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 6 games.
  • Compared to last year's 72.6% clip, Al Horford's foul-shot prowess has jumped this year to 100.0%.
  • Al Horford will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing at home usually boosts player performance across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • In comparison to last season's 2.1 mark, Al Horford's three-pointers hit have decreased this season to 1.3 per game.
  • The 4th-slowest pace-of-play road offense in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Boston Celtics.
  • The Cavaliers have played at the 4th-most sluggish tempo in the league over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, which ought to decrease opportunities for the Celtics.
  • This year when they are at home, opposing clubs have captured 11.4 offensive boards per game (10th-most in the NBA) vs. the Cavaliers (lengthening possessions that can lead to bonus chances for offense).
  • As a team, the Boston Celtics have been bad at getting to the charity stripe in recent days: 8th-worst in the league over the last 15 games playing at home, tallying a mere 21.3 free throw attempts per game.

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