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Al Horford

Al Horford Points
Player Prop - 12/8/2023

Boston Celtics vs New York Knicks

Al Horford Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-128/+104).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -128 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ +104.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Al Horford has averaged 31.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games on the road, 5.1 more than he's averaged in all games this year on the road.

With respect to offense, the Boston Celtics's terrific 123.0 points per game on their home court comes in as the 4th-strongest in the league this year.

This year when they are on their home court, their opposition has grabbed 8.8 offensive boards per game (2nd-fewest in the league) vs. the Knicks (losing possessions that could otherwise spark added chances for offense).

Al Horford has converted an impressive 100.0% of his free throw attempts this season, significantly more than his 72.6 rate last season.

The matchup vs. the Knicks is a tough one for drawing fouls; their opposition has attempted just 18.9 free throws per game this year (2nd-least in the league).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Al Horford has attempted a measly 3.6 treys per game this season, quite a bit less than his 5.1 rate last season.

Al Horford has averaged 2.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games when playing at home, 0.8 higher than he's averaged overall this year at home.

This matchup is a strong one for three-point shots; their opposition has averaged the 4th-most three-point shots per game in the NBA over the last 5 games (14.6).

The Boston Celtics have played at the 7th-most lethargic tempo in the league over the last 5 games on their home court.

The Knicks have played at the least up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games in their home stadium, which should lead to decreased plays for the Boston Celtics.

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