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Al Horford

Al Horford Points
Player Prop - 11/26/2023

Boston Celtics vs Atlanta Hawks

Al Horford Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Al Horford has tallied 1.2 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the least least-whistled players in the league (22nd percentile).

The Boston Celtics have been the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the league while at home this year.

The Hawks have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league this year, which ought to lead to more possessions for the Celtics.

Al Horford has converted a terrific 100.0% of his free throws this season, quite a bit more than his 72.6 mark last season.

This year, opposing starting Cs have attempted 4.1 foul shots per game (23rd-highest in the NBA) against the Hawks, succeeding in their efforts to get to the foul line.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Relative to last season's 5.1 rate, Al Horford's shot attempts from beyond the arc have regressed this season to 3.5 per game.

Al Horford has been on the court for a mere 24.6 minutes per game this season, significantly less than his 30.1 minutes per game last season.

The matchup against the Atlanta Hawks is a challenging one for shots from behind the three-point arc; opposing starting Cs have totaled the 13th-least three attempts per game in the NBA this year (1.1).

The 5th-least up-tempo pace offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Celtics.

The Celtics have been the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league when playing on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).

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