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Al Horford

Al Horford Points
Player Prop - 11/13/2023

Boston Celtics vs New York Knicks

 
 
 
Al Horford Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (+114/-140).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -124 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -140.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Offensive rebounds retain possession and produce added chances for scoring and assists, and the Celtics grade out 7thbest in in the league when playing on the road with 11.8 offensive boards per game over the last 8 games.
  • At home, the New York Knicks have given up the 3rd-least offensive rebounds per game (8.9) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • In contrast to last year's 72.6% rate, Al Horford's foul-shot prowess has increased this year to 100.0%.
  • This year, their opposition has attempted 19.1 foul shots per game (2nd-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Knicks, facing an uphill battle to get to the foul line.
  • Al Horford will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing with the home court advantage tends to improve player performance in all stat categories.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Relative to last year's 5.1 rate, Al Horford's shot attempts from downtown have regressed this year to 3.1 per game.
  • Al Horford has averaged just 23.9 minutes per game this season, a significant dropoff from his 30.1 minutes per game last season.
  • Al Horford has averaged 0.1 technical fouls per game this season, quite a bit more than his 0.0 technicals per game last season.
  • The 10th-most sluggish tempo team in the NBA this year has been the Celtics.
  • The Knicks have played at the 3rd-most sluggish tempo in the NBA this year, which should reduce plays for the {OPP_TEAM}.

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