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Al Horford

Al Horford Points
Player Prop - 5/21/2023

Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics

 
 
 
Al Horford Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -104 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ +100.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Al Horford has made 2.0 3-pointers per game when playing away from home this year, placing him in the 87th percentile out of all players in the league.
  • The Boston Celtics rank as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games while playing away from home.
  • The Heat have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (9.2) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Al Horford has sunk 35.2% of his shots from the field over the last 10 games, -10.0% less than he's made overall this year.
  • Al Horford has committed 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games away from his home court, 1.1 higher than he's committed over the course of the season on the road.
  • The matchup against the Heat is a hard one; they have allowed the 15th-least points per game in the league to the opposition's starting Cs this year (11.9).
  • The Boston Celtics have played at the slowest pace in the league over the last 10 games.
  • The Heat have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the league this year, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Celtics.

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