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Al Horford

Al Horford Points
Player Prop - 5/11/2023

Philadelphia 76ers vs Boston Celtics

Al Horford Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-122/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -122.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Al Horford has attempted 6.6 treys per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 more than he's attempted over the course of the year.

Al Horford has tallied 30.1 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 80th percentile.

The Boston Celtics have been the highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games when playing on the road.

The 76ers have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (8.5) in the NBA to the other team over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

The matchup against the 76ers may be a positive one for drawing fouls; the opposition's starting PFs have attempted a monstrous 5.4 foul shots per game over the last 5 games (28th-most in the league).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Al Horford has sunk 38.2% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games, -7.9% lower than he's sunk in all games this season.

The matchup against Philadelphia is a difficult one for shots from the field; when the 76ers are on their home court, the opposition's starting Cs have averaged the 15th-least FG attempts per game in the league this year (7.9).

The Boston Celtics have played at the 3rd-slowest pace in the league over the last 5 games.

The 76ers have played at the most sluggish pace in the league over the last 25 games, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the Celtics.

The Boston Celtics rank as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).

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