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Al Horford

Al Horford Points
Player Prop - 3/8/2023

Boston Celtics vs Portland Trail Blazers

Al Horford Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-108/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -108.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Al Horford has made 37.7% of his 3-pointers this year, placing him in the 83rd percentile among all players in the league.

Al Horford has played 35.1 minutes per game over the last 15 games, 4.9 more than he's played overall this year.

The matchup vs. the Trail Blazers is a positive one for field goals; the opposition's starting Cs have posted the 29th-highest field goal percentage in the NBA this year (61.3%).

The Boston Celtics have been the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games when playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

The Trail Blazers have given up the 10th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.8) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Al Horford has tallied 3.3 personal fouls per game over the last 15 games when playing at home, 0.9 higher than he's tallied in all games this season at home.

The Boston Celtics have been the lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games at home.

The Boston Celtics have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games with the home court advantage.

The Trail Blazers have played at the 10th-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games while traveling, which ought to lead to decreased possessions for the Celtics.

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