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Al Horford

Al Horford Points
Player Prop - 3/3/2023

Boston Celtics vs Brooklyn Nets

 
 
 
Al Horford Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-112/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ +102 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -112.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Al Horford has successfully made 52.4% of his shots from downtown over the last 10 games, 14.8% higher than he's made from three in all games this season.
  • Al Horford has been on the court for 35.1 minutes per game over the last 15 games, 4.9 higher than he's been on the court for in all games this season.
  • The matchup against Kevin Durant is a good one for shots from downtown; when matched up against fellow starting PFs this year, they have successfully made a colossal 35.5% of their three-pointers (88th percentile).
  • The Nets have played at the 4th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games without the home court advantage, which should boost possessions for the Celtics.
  • The Boston Celtics have been the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games with the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Al Horford has accumulated 3.3 personal fouls per game over the last 15 games while at home, 0.9 higher than he's accumulated in all games this season at home.
  • The Boston Celtics rank as the lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games on their home court.
  • The matchup vs. the Nets is a challenging one; they have given up the 12th-least points per game in the NBA to the opposition's starting PFs over the last 20 games (11.5).
  • The Boston Celtics have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 25 games at home.
  • The Nets have allowed the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (11.9) in the league to opposing squads over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).

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