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Al Horford

Al Horford Points
Player Prop - 1/19/2023

Boston Celtics vs Golden State Warriors

Al Horford Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-130/+102).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -128 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Al Horford has converted 45.7% of his shots from behind the three-point arc this year, ranking him in the 95th percentile out of all players in the NBA.

Al Horford has tallied 30.0 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 78th percentile.

The Boston Celtics have been the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league this year.

The Celtics have played at the quickest pace in the league this year, which ought to raise opportunities for the Warriors.

The Warriors have given up the 7th-most offensive rebounds per game (9.8) in the league to opposing teams this year while playing on the road (which also produce new chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Al Horford has converted a measly 0.2 foul shots per game this year, a significant dropoff from his 1.2 mark last year.

The matchup against the Warriors is a hard one for getting to the free throw line; opposing teams have attempted a lowly 26.2 free throws per game this year (least in the league).

The matchup against the Warriors is a challenging one; away from home they have allowed the least points per game in the league to their opposition this year (123.4).

The Boston Celtics rank as the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (which will also lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

The matchup vs. the Warriors is a tough one for threes; the opposition's starting PFs have posted the 6th-lowest 3-point rate in the league since the start of last season (29.2%).

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