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Al Horford

Al Horford Points
Player Prop - 1/9/2023

Boston Celtics vs Chicago Bulls

Al Horford Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-134/+110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -128 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ +110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Al Horford has converted 51.1% of his shots from behind the three-point arc when playing at home this year, ranking in the 97th percentile among all players in the league.

Al Horford has averaged 29.8 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 77th percentile.

The Boston Celtics check in as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the NBA when playing at home this year.

The Bulls have given up the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (9.6) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (which also produce added chances for scoring and assists).

Al Horford will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing with the home court advantage generally raises stat production for all stats.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Al Horford has made a lowly 0.2 foul shots per game this year, a significant dropoff from his 1.2 mark last year.

The matchup vs. the Bulls is a difficult one for three-pointers; while playing on the road, opposing clubs have shot for the 4th-lowest 3-point percentage in the league this year (38.1%).

The Boston Celtics have been the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (which will also lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

The matchup against the Bulls is a hard one; they have allowed the 9th-least points per game in the NBA to the other team's starting Cs since the start of last season (13.1).

The matchup against the Bulls is a challenging one for drawing fouls; the other team's starting Cs have attempted a mere 3.0 free throws per game since the start of last season (7th-least in the NBA).

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