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Al Horford

Al Horford Points
Player Prop - 1/5/2023

Dallas Mavericks vs Boston Celtics

Al Horford Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-152/+114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -108 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -152.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Al Horford has successfully made an impressive 2.1 shots from downtown per game this season, a sizeable increase from his 1.5 rate last season.

Al Horford has tallied 30.8 minutes per game while on the road this year, ranking him in the 79th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league.

The Boston Celtics have been the 5th-highest scoring offense in the league this year without the home court advantage.

The matchup vs. the Mavericks may be a positive one for getting to the foul line; their opposition have attempted a monstrous 21.7 free throws per game since the start of last season (9th-most in the league).

The matchup vs. the Mavericks is a positive one for three-pointers; when playing at home, their opposition have totaled the most treys per game in the league this year (10.7).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Al Horford has successfully made a lowly 0.2 foul shots per game this year, a significant dropoff from his 1.2 rate last year.

The matchup vs. the Mavericks is a tough one for scoring; opposing teams have compiled the 8th-lowest field goal percentage in the league this year (48.1%).

The Boston Celtics rank as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (which also eliminates additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

The Celtics have played at the least up-tempo pace in the league this year, which ought to decrease opportunities for the Mavericks.

The matchup vs. the Mavericks is a difficult one for field goals; the opposing team's starting SGs have tallied the 4th-least field goals per game in the NBA this year (5.5).

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