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Al Horford

Al Horford Assists
Player Prop - 3/5/2024

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Boston Celtics

Al Horford Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-155/+115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -140 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -155.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Al Horford has put up 2.9 assists per game this year on the road, putting him among the best in the league by this standard in recent days: 77th percentile.

Playing at home, the Cleveland Cavaliers have given up the least offensive boards per game (8.4) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The 2nd-least up-tempo tempo visiting team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Celtics.

The Cavaliers have played at the 2nd-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games at home, which ought to lead to fewer possessions for the Boston Celtics.

The Boston Celtics check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).

Al Horford will not enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage usually worsens player production across the board.

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