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Al Horford

Al Horford Assists
Player Prop - 2/11/2024

Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics

Al Horford Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+118/-154).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Al Horford has tallied 3.3 assists per game this year on the road, placing him among the hottest players in the NBA by this metric recently: 80th percentile.

The Celtics have played at the 6th-speediest pace in the league over the last 5 games.

Offensive rebounds preserve possession and lead to extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Boston Celtics rank 9thbest in in the NBA while on the road with 11.3 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games.

This year when they are the visiting team, opposing teams have secured 8.9 offensive rebounds per game (2nd-lowest in the league) against the Miami Heat (diminishing possessions that could otherwise result in bonus opportunities for offense).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Heat have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games in their home city, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Celtics.

Al Horford will not enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home court generally lowers stat production for all stats.

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