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Al Horford

Al Horford Assists
Player Prop - 1/25/2024

Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics

Al Horford Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+140/-175).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -170 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -175.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Al Horford has put up 3.1 assists per game this year on the road, placing him among the best in the league by this metric over this stretch of games: 79th percentile.

The Boston Celtics have played at the 4th-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games while on the road.

Offensive rebounds preserve possession and spark additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Celtics rank 6thbest in in the league with 11.5 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games.

The Miami Heat have allowed the least offensive boards per game (9.6) in the league to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Celtics are expected to suffer a reduction in plays in this contest from being pitted against the 2nd-most lethargic pace offense in the NBA this year (the Heat).

Al Horford is expected to see a decline in effectiveness in all facets of the game due to playing on the visting team in this contest.

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