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Al Horford

Al Horford Assists
Player Prop - 12/25/2023

Los Angeles Lakers vs Boston Celtics

Al Horford Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+106/-137).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +112 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +106.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Al Horford has averaged 3.2 assists per game this year on the road, placing him among the league leaders in this category over this stretch: 80th percentile.

The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 20 games, which ought to raise opportunities for the Boston Celtics.

Offensive rebounds save possession and result in additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Celtics grade out 3rdbest in in the NBA with 13.2 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

The Lakers have given up the 5th-least offensive boards per game (9.9) in the NBA to the other team over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The 5th-least up-tempo pace offense in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Boston Celtics.

Al Horford will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city usually lowers player performance in all stat categories.

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