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Al Horford

Al Horford Assists
Player Prop - 5/25/2023

Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat

 
 
 
Al Horford Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+114/-140).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -140.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Al Horford has tallied 3.0 assists per game this year at home, putting him among the best in the NBA by this metric over this stretch: 78th percentile.
  • Al Horford has been on the court for 30.1 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 80th percentile.
  • Without the home court advantage, the Heat have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (9.2) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • Al Horford will enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home city usually increases stat production for all stats.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Boston Celtics have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games.
  • The Heat have played at the most lethargic pace in the league over the last 15 games without the home court advantage, which should reduce opportunities for the Celtics.
  • The Boston Celtics have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games while at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).

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