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Al Horford

Al Horford Assists
Player Prop - 5/23/2023

Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics

Al Horford Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+116/-142).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -104 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -142.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Al Horford has compiled 2.9 assists per game this year on the road, putting him among the league leaders by this standard over this stretch: 75th percentile.

Al Horford has tallied 30.1 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 80th percentile.

The Boston Celtics have been the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).

The Heat have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (9.3) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Al Horford has been called for 3.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while playing away from home, 0.9 higher than he's been called for in all games this year on the road.

The Boston Celtics have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games.

The Heat have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which should reduce plays for the Celtics.

Al Horford will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium tends to reduces stat production in all stat categories.

More Al Horford Player Props

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