A.J. Green Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-120/+105).
The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ +102 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ +105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
The Bucks check in as the 5th-highest scoring offense in the league when playing at home since the start of last season.
The matchup vs. the Sacramento Kings is a favorable one for three-point shots; opposing starting SFs have averaged the 3rd-most threes per game in the NBA this year (2.3).
The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 10th-quickest pace in the NBA playing at home this year.
The matchup vs. the Sacramento Kings is a strong one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted a whopping 3.1 foul shots per game this year (9th-most in the NBA).
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
The Milwaukee Bucks check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
