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A.J. Green

A.J. Green Points
Player Prop - 10/22/2025

Milwaukee Bucks vs Washington Wizards

 
 
 
A.J. Green Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (+105/-112).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -118 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -112.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Among all players in the league, AJ Green comes in at the 93rd percentile for three-point performance with a phenomenal 40.7% rate since the start of last season.
  • The Bucks check in as the 10th-highest scoring offense in the league since the start of last season.
  • This year, opposing starting SFs have logged 15.7 points per game (7th-most in the league) against the Wizards, making this a good matchup for offensive performance.
  • The Bucks will likely see a spike in possessions in this game from being pitted against the 4th-most up-tempo tempo offense in the NBA since the start of last season (the Wizards).
  • Over the last 5 games when they are playing at home, the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted 4.2 foul shots per game (7th-most in the league) vs. the Washington Wizards, succeeding in their efforts to get to the charity stripe.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Bucks check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).
  • AJ Green has attempted 0.4 free throws per game since the start of last season, placing him in the 8th percentile among all players in the NBA.

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