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A.J. Green

A.J. Green Points
Player Prop - 4/29/2025

Indiana Pacers vs Milwaukee Bucks

 
 
 
A.J. Green Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-111/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -108 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -111.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • AJ Green has made 2.8 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 0.6 higher than he's sunk overall this year.
  • The Bucks check in as the 6th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 15 games.
  • The matchup vs. the Pacers is a positive one; they have given up the most points per game in the league to opposing starting SGs this year (19.0).
  • The Indiana Pacers have played at the 7th-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 25 games at home, which ought to boost opportunities for the Milwaukee Bucks.
  • The matchup against Indiana is a positive one for getting to the charity stripe; opposing starting SGs have attempted a colossal 5.3 free throws per game this year when the Pacers are at home (most in the NBA).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Bucks rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • Among all players in the league, AJ Green lands in the 12th percentile for getting to the charity stripe, compiling a mere 0.3 foul shot attempts per game while playing on the road this year.
  • AJ Green will not hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing while traveling usually decreases stat production in all facets of the game.

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