A.J. Green Points - Player Prop Bet 4/29/2025

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A.J. Green

NBA · Player Props

A.J. Green

G · Milwaukee Bucks

Points

Indiana Pacers vs Milwaukee Bucks · Apr 29, 2025

Updated Apr 30, 2025 1:28 AM UTC

Analysis

A.J. Green Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-111/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -108 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -111.

Key Factors

Favors Over

AJ Green has made 2.8 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 0.6 higher than he's sunk overall this year.
The Bucks check in as the 6th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 15 games.
The matchup vs. the Pacers is a positive one; they have given up the most points per game in the league to opposing starting SGs this year (19.0).
The Indiana Pacers have played at the 7th-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 25 games at home, which ought to boost opportunities for the Milwaukee Bucks.
The matchup against Indiana is a positive one for getting to the charity stripe; opposing starting SGs have attempted a colossal 5.3 free throws per game this year when the Pacers are at home (most in the NBA).

Favors Under

The Bucks rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Among all players in the league, AJ Green lands in the 12th percentile for getting to the charity stripe, compiling a mere 0.3 foul shot attempts per game while playing on the road this year.
AJ Green will not hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing while traveling usually decreases stat production in all facets of the game.

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