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A.J. Green Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-137/-137).
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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AJ Green has sunk 57.0% of his treys over the last 5 games, 16.6% more than he's converted from downtown overall this year.When it comes to scoring, the Bucks's exceptional 120.8 points per game rates 4th-most in the league over the last 5 games.The Pistons have played at the most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games away from their home court, which should increase possessions for the Milwaukee Bucks.Over the last 10 games, the other team's starting SGs have attempted 4.8 free throws per game (2nd-most in the league) against the Detroit Pistons, easily managing to get to the free-throw line.AJ Green will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing on your home court usually improves player performance across the board.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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Among all players in the NBA, AJ Green lands in the 77th percentile for personal fouls, totaling a monstrous 2.2 fouls per game this year.The matchup against the Pistons is a challenging one for three-pointers; the opposing team's starting SGs have posted the 2nd-lowest 3-point rate in the NBA this year (27.6%).The Bucks have played at the 7th-most sluggish tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games.Offensive rebounds continue possession and spark extra chances for scoring and assists, but the Bucks grade out 1stworst in in the NBA with only 8.3 offensive boards per game this year.Out of all players in the league, AJ Green measures in the 15th percentile for getting to the free-throw line, posting only 0.4 foul shots per game while playing at home this year.
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