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A.J. Green

A.J. Green Points
Player Prop - 3/5/2025

Milwaukee Bucks vs Dallas Mavericks

A.J. Green Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ +105 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

AJ Green has made 42.5% of his treys at home this year, ranking in the 87th percentile among all players in the league.

The Bucks check in as the 5th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 25 games as the home team.

The Bucks have played at the 5th-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 25 games playing at home.

The Bucks will likely see an increase in plays today from squaring off against the 5th-fastest tempo away offense in the league over the last 25 games (the Mavericks).

AJ Green has made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 9.3% higher than he's put through the net overall this season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

AJ Green has accumulated 2.2 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the highest-fouling players in the league (76th percentile).

The matchup against Dallas is a challenging one; when the Dallas Mavericks are the visiting squad, they have allowed the 8th-least points per game in the league to the other team's starting SGs over the last 5 games (12.5).

The Bucks check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

Over the last 10 games, the other team's starting SGs have attempted 1.8 free throws per game (6th-fewest in the league) against the Dallas Mavericks, struggling to get to the free-throw line.

More A.J. Green Player Props

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