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A.J. Green

A.J. Green Points
Player Prop - 2/3/2025

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Milwaukee Bucks

 
 
 
A.J. Green Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-105/-125).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • AJ Green has sunk an impressive 2.3 treys per game this season, significantly higher than his 1.2 mark last season.
  • In terms of scoring, the Bucks's terrific 122.1 points per game places 4th-most in the NBA over the last 10 games.
  • The matchup against the Oklahoma City Thunder is a favorable one for three-point shots; the opposing team's starting SGs have posted the 2nd-highest three rate in the league this year (44.1%).
  • The 5th-quickest tempo team in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Milwaukee Bucks.
  • The Thunder have played at the 4th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games on their home court, which should boost possessions for the Milwaukee Bucks.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • AJ Green has committed 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while on the road, 1.5 higher than he's committed over the course of the year on the road.
  • The Bucks have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • AJ Green has attempted 0.4 foul shots per game this year, ranking in the 12th percentile among all players in the league.
  • The matchup against the Oklahoma City Thunder may be a challenging one for drawing fouls; the other team's starting SGs have attempted a mere 1.9 free throws per game over the last 20 games (least in the NBA).
  • AJ Green will not hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home court tends to reduce stat production in all facets of the game.

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