A.J. Green Points - Player Prop Bet 12/23/2024

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A.J. Green

NBA · Player Props

A.J. Green

G · Milwaukee Bucks

Points

Chicago Bulls vs Milwaukee Bucks · Dec 23, 2024

Updated Dec 24, 2024 12:56 AM EST

Analysis

A.J. Green Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

AJ Green has sunk 62.0% of his field goals over the last 5 games on the road, 11.5% higher than he's put through the net over the course of the season while on the road.
AJ Green has made 50.5% of his three-point attempts when playing away from home this year, ranking him in the 94th percentile among all players in the league.
With respect to shooting, the Bucks's fantastic 48.1% field goal percentage places 7th-best in the league this year.
The 10th-speediest tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Bucks.
The Chicago Bulls have played at the 2nd-quickest tempo in the league this year, which ought to lead to more possessions for the Bucks.

Favors Under

AJ Green has been called for 3.0 personal fouls per game over the last 15 games, 1.0 higher than he's been called for overall this year.
The Milwaukee Bucks have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).
AJ Green has attempted 0.2 free throws per game while playing away from home this year, putting him in the 7th percentile out of all players in the league.
AJ Green will not hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city tends to lower stat production for all stats.

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