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A.J. Green Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-134/+110).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -122 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -134.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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AJ Green has sunk a whopping 40.3% of his field goals this year, quite a bit more than his 33.8 rate last year.AJ Green has attempted 6.4 treys per game over the last 5 games, 3.5 more than he's attempted over the course of the season.Among all players in the league, AJ Green places in the 16th percentile for personal fouls, compiling a lowly 0.9 fouls per game this year.In regard to shooting, the Bucks's outstanding 120.9 points per game on the road rates best in the league this year.The 2nd-most up-tempo pace-of-play away offense in the league over the last 15 games has been the Milwaukee Bucks.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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Out of all players in the NBA, AJ Green slots into the 15th percentile for playing time, compiling a mere 9.2 minutes per game this year.This matchup is a favorable one for 3-pointers; their opposition has shot for the 2nd-highest three percentage in the NBA over the last 25 games while at home (39.1%).The Milwaukee Bucks are expected to suffer a drop-off in opportunities in this game from facing the 6th-least up-tempo tempo offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Grizzlies).The Milwaukee Bucks have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league when playing away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).Over the last 5 games when they are the visiting team, opposing squads have attempted 22.8 foul shots per game (9th-most in the NBA) vs. the Memphis Grizzlies, easily managing to draw fouls.
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