My Account Log Out

reorder

A.J. Green

A.J. Green Points
Player Prop - 4/7/2023

Milwaukee Bucks vs Memphis Grizzlies

A.J. Green Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-120/-102).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -112 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ -102.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

AJ Green has made 1.5 treys per game over the last 10 games at home, 0.6 higher than he's converted from three in all games this year on his home court.

AJ Green has accumulated 1.1 personal fouls per game playing at home this year, putting him in the 19th percentile -- among the NBA's least-whistled.

The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games.

The Grizzlies have played at the 3rd-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games without the home court advantage, which ought to raise possessions for the Bucks.

The Milwaukee Bucks rank as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA on their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

AJ Green has tallied 9.0 minutes per game while at home this year, putting him in the 13th percentile -- riding the bench far more than most players in the NBA.

The matchup against the Grizzlies is a hard one for field goals; the opposition's starting SGs have posted the 15th-lowest field goal rate in the NBA this year (41.9%).

The Grizzlies have allowed the 6th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.0) in the league to opposing teams over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).

As a team, the Milwaukee Bucks have been poor at getting to the free throw line in recent days: 2nd-worst in the league over the last 10 games on their home court, tallying a measly 19.8 free throw attempts per game.

The matchup vs. Memphis may be a hard one for drawing fouls; opposing starting SGs have attempted a lowly 3.1 foul shots per game over the last 25 games when the Grizzlies are on the road (10th-least in the NBA).

More A.J. Green Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™