Aaron Wiggins Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 2/25/2024

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Aaron Wiggins

NBA · Player Props

Aaron Wiggins

G-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Rebounds

Houston Rockets vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Feb 25, 2024

Updated Feb 25, 2024 11:07 PM EST

Analysis

Aaron Wiggins Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+120/-156).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -156.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Aaron Wiggins has averaged 1.1 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games, 0.4 more than he's averaged over the course of the season.
The Thunder have played at the 3rd-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.
The Houston Rockets have played at the 8th-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games, which should raise opportunities for the Thunder.

Favors Under

The Thunder have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).
The Houston Rockets have allowed the 3rd-most offensive boards per game (12.8) in the league to opposing teams over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).
Aaron Wiggins is expected to see a decline in output across the board on account of playing away from home in this game.

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