Aaron Wiggins Points - Player Prop Bet 5/26/2025

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Aaron Wiggins

NBA · Player Props

Aaron Wiggins

G-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Oklahoma City Thunder · May 26, 2025

Updated May 27, 2025 12:18 AM EST

Analysis

Aaron Wiggins Points Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+110/-143).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -119 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -143.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The 6th-speediest tempo team in the league this year has been the Oklahoma City Thunder.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and produce more chances for scoring and assists, and the Thunder grade out 7th-best in in the NBA on the road with 12.3 offensive boards per game over the last 7 games.
Aaron Wiggins has converted 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 10 games, 18.8% more than he's put through the net in all games this season.

Favors Under

In comparison to last season's 48.2% rate, Aaron Wiggins's 3-point effectiveness has dropped this season to 36.0%.
The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games at home, which ought to lead to decreased opportunities for the Oklahoma City Thunder.
As a team, the Oklahoma City Thunder have been bad at getting to the foul line: 9th-worst in the NBA this year with a measly 21.0 free throws per game.
Aaron Wiggins will not enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city usually worsens player performance across the board.

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