Aaron Wiggins Points - Player Prop Bet 5/18/2025

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Aaron Wiggins

NBA · Player Props

Aaron Wiggins

G-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets · May 18, 2025

Updated May 18, 2025 7:33 PM EST

Analysis

Aaron Wiggins Points Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ +108 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Aaron Wiggins has successfully made 59.0% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games at home, 11.9% higher than he's sunk overall this year while at home.
Aaron Wiggins has sunk 53.3% of his three-point attempts over the last 5 games, 16.3% more than he's made from 3-point range over the course of the season.
In terms of offense, the Oklahoma City Thunder's terrific 121.4 points per game comes in as the most in the league over the last 25 games.
The Thunder have played at the quickest tempo in the league over the last 5 games on their home court.
Aaron Wiggins will have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on your home court usually boosts stat production in all stat categories.

Favors Under

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 10th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games, which ought to lead to decreased possessions for the Thunder.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and create added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Oklahoma City Thunder rank 10thworst in in the NBA at home with only 10.6 offensive boards per game this year.

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