Aaron Wiggins Points - Player Prop Bet 5/11/2025

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Aaron Wiggins

NBA · Player Props

Aaron Wiggins

G-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

Denver Nuggets vs Oklahoma City Thunder · May 11, 2025

Updated May 12, 2025 3:58 AM EST

Analysis

Aaron Wiggins Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-132/+104).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ +104.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Aaron Wiggins has registered 15.8 points per game over the last 5 games away from his home court, 4.0 higher than he's registered over the course of the season on the road.
The 2nd-fastest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 15 games has been the Thunder.
The Thunder rank as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).
Aaron Wiggins has sunk 91.7% of his foul shots over the last 5 games on the road, 12.2% higher than he's made overall this year when playing away from home.

Favors Under

The Nuggets have played at the 7th-slowest tempo in the league over the last 10 games, which should reduce possessions for the Oklahoma City Thunder.
As a team, the Oklahoma City Thunder have been quite unsuccesful at getting to the foul line: 8th-worst in the league this year, averaging a mere 20.9 free throws per game.
Aaron Wiggins will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home stadium usually decreases player performance in all stat categories.

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