Aaron Wiggins Points - Player Prop Bet 5/9/2025

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Aaron Wiggins

NBA · Player Props

Aaron Wiggins

G-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

Denver Nuggets vs Oklahoma City Thunder · May 9, 2025

Updated May 10, 2025 2:09 AM EST

Analysis

Aaron Wiggins Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -135 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Aaron Wiggins has sunk 6.6 buckets per game over the last 5 games on the road, 2.0 more than he's made overall this year away from home.
The most up-tempo pace offense in the league over the last 15 games has been the Thunder.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and create added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Thunder rank 8th-best in in the league with 11.8 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.
Aaron Wiggins has made 3.2 free throws per game over the last 5 games on the road, 2.2 higher than he's made in all games this season without the home court advantage.

Favors Under

The Oklahoma City Thunder will likely suffer a drop-off in plays in this contest from sharing the court with the 8th-most lethargic pace team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Nuggets).
As a team, the Oklahoma City Thunder have been bad at getting to the free-throw line: 9th-worst in the league this year, totaling just 20.9 free throw attempts per game.
Aaron Wiggins will not enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing while traveling usually reduces player production for all stats.

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