Aaron Wiggins Points - Player Prop Bet 3/16/2025

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Aaron Wiggins

NBA · Player Props

Aaron Wiggins

G-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

Milwaukee Bucks vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Mar 16, 2025

Updated Mar 17, 2025 2:59 AM EST

Analysis

Aaron Wiggins Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (+104/-139).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -141 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ +104.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Aaron Wiggins has attempted 12.3 field goals per game over the last 10 games, 3.3 higher than he's attempted in all games this season.
Aaron Wiggins has converted 2.9 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 10 games on the road, 1.1 more than he's converted from 3-point range over the course of the season away from his home court.
Over the last 5 games, the opposing team's starting SFs have logged 19.8 points per game (3rd-most in the NBA) against the Bucks, labeling this as a favorable matchup for offensive productivity.
The 5th-quickest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the Thunder.
The Bucks have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 25 games in their home stadium, which should lead to increased opportunities for the Thunder.

Favors Under

As it relates to drawing fouls, the Thunder's feeble 20.2 foul shot attempts per game measures as the 4th-worst in the NBA this year.
Aaron Wiggins ought to suffer a reduction in output for all stats due to playing on the visting team in this matchup.

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