Aaron Wiggins Points - Player Prop Bet 3/12/2025

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Aaron Wiggins

NBA · Player Props

Aaron Wiggins

G-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

Boston Celtics vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Mar 12, 2025

Updated Mar 13, 2025 2:30 AM EST

Analysis

Aaron Wiggins Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-150/+115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -150.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Aaron Wiggins has sunk 6.3 buckets per game over the last 15 games, 1.8 more than he's sunk overall this season.
Aaron Wiggins has made 3.4 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.6 higher than he's converted over the course of the season while playing away from home.
The Thunder have played at the 5th-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games.
The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).
This year when they are the visiting team, the opposition's starting PFs have attempted 3.9 free throws per game (8th-highest in the NBA) against the Celtics, succeeding in their efforts to get to the free-throw line.

Favors Under

The matchup against the Celtics is a challenging one; they have allowed the 2nd-least points per game in the NBA to the opposing team's starting PFs this year (14.5).
The Celtics have played at the least up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 10 games, which ought to lead to fewer possessions for the Oklahoma City Thunder.
As a team, the Oklahoma City Thunder have been bad at getting to the charity stripe as the away team: 2nd-worst in the NBA this year, averaging a measly 20.0 free throws per game.
Aaron Wiggins will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium usually worsens player performance for all stats.

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