Aaron Wiggins Points - Player Prop Bet 3/10/2025

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Aaron Wiggins

NBA · Player Props

Aaron Wiggins

G-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets · Mar 10, 2025

Updated Mar 11, 2025 3:34 AM EST

Analysis

Aaron Wiggins Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Aaron Wiggins has converted 2.7 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 15 games, 1.0 higher than he's made from three overall this year.
Aaron Wiggins has played 27.4 minutes per game over the last 15 games while on his home court, 4.6 more than he's played over the course of the year at home.
The 5th-speediest pace offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Oklahoma City Thunder.
The Nuggets have played at the 5th-fastest tempo in the NBA this year, which should lead to more opportunities for the Thunder.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and create further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Oklahoma City Thunder grade out 7th-best in in the NBA with 12.5 offensive rebounds per game over the last 20 games.

Favors Under

As a team, the Oklahoma City Thunder have been poor at getting to the foul line: 4th-worst in the NBA this year, totaling a lowly 20.0 foul shots per game.

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