Aaron Wiggins Points - Player Prop Bet 3/7/2025

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Aaron Wiggins

NBA · Player Props

Aaron Wiggins

G-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Portland Trail Blazers · Mar 7, 2025

Updated Mar 8, 2025 4:35 AM EST

Analysis

Aaron Wiggins Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-118/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 20.5 @ -132 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ -118.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Aaron Wiggins has converted 49.2% of his 3-pointers over the last 15 games, 10.0% higher than he's converted from beyond the arc in all games this season.
Aaron Wiggins has been on the court for 27.6 minutes per game over the last 15 games while on his home court, 4.9 higher than he's been on the court for in all games this year at home.
This year, the other team's starting SGs have shot 51.5% on field goals (highest in the NBA) vs. the Portland Trail Blazers, branding this as a positive matchup.
The Thunder have played at the 2nd-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Trail Blazers have played at the 7th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games, which ought to boost opportunities for the Oklahoma City Thunder.

Favors Under

As a team, the Thunder have been lousy at drawing fouls: 3rd-worst in the NBA this year, averaging a mere 20.0 free throws per game.
This year when they have the home court advantage, opposing starting SFs have attempted 1.9 free throws per game (4th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Trail Blazers, struggling to get to the free-throw line.

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