Aaron Wiggins Points - Player Prop Bet 2/12/2025

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Aaron Wiggins

NBA · Player Props

Aaron Wiggins

G-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Miami Heat · Feb 12, 2025

Updated Feb 13, 2025 3:59 AM EST

Analysis

Aaron Wiggins Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-123/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -109 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -123.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Aaron Wiggins has sunk 8.8 buckets per game over the last 5 games, 4.7 higher than he's put through the hoop overall this year.
Aaron Wiggins has tallied 29.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.7 higher than he's tallied overall this year.
The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the highest scoring offense in the league over the last 15 games.
This year when they are on their home court, opposing starting SFs have totaled 5.8 3-point attempts per game (3rd-most in the NBA) against the Miami Heat, labeling this as a positive matchup.
The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 5th-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games playing at home.

Favors Under

The Miami Heat have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games, which ought to lead to fewer opportunities for the Oklahoma City Thunder.
The Oklahoma City Thunder rank as the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).

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