Aaron Wiggins Points - Player Prop Bet 1/2/2025

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Aaron Wiggins

NBA · Player Props

Aaron Wiggins

G-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

Oklahoma City Thunder vs LA Clippers · Jan 2, 2025

Updated Jan 3, 2025 1:26 AM EST

Analysis

Aaron Wiggins Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Aaron Wiggins has made 42.8% of his attempts from downtown while at home this year, placing him in the 81st percentile out of all players in the league.
Among all players in the NBA, Aaron Wiggins ranks in the 24th percentile for personal fouls, logging just 1.2 fouls per game this year.
The 8th-quickest pace-of-play team in the league this year has been the Oklahoma City Thunder.
The Thunder will likely see a spike in plays in this game from being pitted against the 9th-speediest pace road offense in the league over the last 15 games (the Clippers).
The Oklahoma City Thunder rank as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The matchup against Los Angeles is a hard one for scoring; when the LA Clippers are away from home, opposing starting SFs have posted the 5th-lowest Field Goal% in the NBA this year (43.3%).
As a team, the Thunder have been lousy at drawing fouls: 3rd-worst in the NBA this year, totaling just 19.4 foul shot attempts per game.
The matchup vs. Amir Coffey is a difficult one for getting to the charity stripe; when Coffey is playing on the road and defending other starting SFs this year, they have attempted just 2.0 foul shots per game (18th percentile).

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