Aaron Wiggins Points - Player Prop Bet 11/25/2024

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Aaron Wiggins

NBA · Player Props

Aaron Wiggins

G-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

Sacramento Kings vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Nov 25, 2024

Updated Nov 26, 2024 2:55 AM EST

Analysis

Aaron Wiggins Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-108/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Aaron Wiggins has made 42.1% of his three-point shots away from home this year, placing him in the 79th percentile among all players in the league.
The Oklahoma City Thunder rank as the 9th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 15 games.
The matchup against Sacramento is a good one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; when the Kings are on their home court, the other team's starting SFs have tallied the 2nd-most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (6.1).
The fastest pace visiting team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Thunder.
The matchup vs. Sacramento may be a favorable one for getting to the foul line; the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted an enormous 4.2 foul shots per game over the last 5 games when the Sacramento Kings are on their home court (7th-most in the NBA).

Favors Under

The Kings have played at the 5th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league on their home court this year, which should reduce opportunities for the Oklahoma City Thunder.
The Thunder check in as the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).
Among all players in the league, Aaron Wiggins measures in the 21st percentile for getting to the charity stripe, logging just 0.7 free throw attempts per game this year.
Aaron Wiggins will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home city generally lowers stat production across the board.

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