Aaron Wiggins Points - Player Prop Bet 5/15/2024

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Aaron Wiggins

NBA · Player Props

Aaron Wiggins

G-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Dallas Mavericks · May 15, 2024

Updated May 16, 2024 1:36 AM EST

Analysis

Aaron Wiggins Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-122/+102).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ +105 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ +102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Aaron Wiggins has sunk 71.2% of his field goal attempts over the last 10 games at home, 12.9% more than he's sunk over the course of the year on his home court.
In regard to offense, the Thunder's excellent 122.1 points per game as the home team places 2nd-most in the NBA this year.
The Thunder have played at the 7th-speediest pace in the league over the last 25 games.
Aaron Wiggins has made 90.2% of his foul shot attempts over the last 15 games, 8.3% higher than he's put through the net over the course of the season.
Aaron Wiggins will possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing at home generally boosts player performance across the board.

Favors Under

The Thunder are expected to experience a decrease in opportunities today from being pitted against the 4th-most lethargic pace-of-play team in the league over the last 10 games (the Dallas Mavericks).
Offensive rebounds continue possession and spark added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Oklahoma City Thunder grade out 2ndworst in in the NBA with only 8.8 offensive rebounds per game this year.

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