Aaron Wiggins Points - Player Prop Bet 4/29/2024

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Aaron Wiggins

NBA · Player Props

Aaron Wiggins

G-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

New Orleans Pelicans vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Apr 29, 2024

Updated Apr 30, 2024 1:56 AM EST

Analysis

Aaron Wiggins Points Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Compared to last season's 36.9% rate, Aaron Wiggins's three-point proficiency has surged this season to 50.9%.
Aaron Wiggins has tallied 25.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games while playing on the road, 9.8 higher than he's tallied over the course of the year on the road.
The Thunder rank as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games.
The 5th-most up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Oklahoma City Thunder.
Aaron Wiggins has successfully made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games on the road, 17.5% higher than he's put through the net in all games this season without the home court advantage.

Favors Under

Aaron Wiggins has accumulated 2.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while playing away from home, 1.2 higher than he's accumulated in all games this year on the road.
The Oklahoma City Thunder are expected to suffer a drop-off in possessions in this game from competing against the 10th-least up-tempo pace-of-play team in the league over the last 25 games (the Pelicans).
Offensive rebounds retain possession and create added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Oklahoma City Thunder rank 2ndworst in in the NBA with a mere 8.8 offensive rebounds per game this year.
Aaron Wiggins will likely see a decline in performance for all stats on account of being on the road in this contest.

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